KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
C.Upshaw forced fumble, recovered by A.Jones
(Shotgun) L.James right end to BAL 25 for -1 yards (C.Upshaw, C.Graham). FUMBLES (C.Upshaw), RECOVERED by A.Jones at BAL 25. A.Jones to BAL 25 for no gain (D.Walker). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: BAL 7, SF 3.
LaMichael JamesC.UpshawA.JonesC.GrahamDe.Walker
EPA -5.14. Win probability swing 17%.
02
C.Kaepernick, 15-yd TD
(Shotgun) C.Kaepernick scrambles left end for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 31, SF 29.
Colin Kaepernick
EPA +2.55. Win probability swing 15%.
03
J.Flacco -> A.Boldin, 13-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Flacco pass short middle to A.Boldin for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 7, SF 0.
EPA +2.81. Win probability swing 8%.
04
D.Akers kicks 73 yards from SF 35 to BAL -8. J.Jones for 108 yards, TO
D.Akers kicks 73 yards from SF 35 to BAL -8. J.Jones for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 28, SF 6.
Jacoby JonesDavid Akers
EPA +6.74. Win probability swing 6%.
05
J.Flacco -> J.Jones, 56-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Flacco pass deep middle to J.Jones for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 47, YAC 9 Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 21, SF 3.
EPA +6.07. Win probability swing 5%.