KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
N.Bosa strip-sack, recovered by N.Bosa
(No Huddle, Shotgun) S.Darnold sacked at SF 16 for -7 yards (N.Bosa). FUMBLES (N.Bosa), touched at SF 13, RECOVERED by N.Bosa at SF 16. PENALTY on D.Lenoir, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 8 yards, enforced at SF 16. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: SF 17, SEA 13.
EPA -4.61. Win probability swing 54%.
02
E.Jones interception
B.Purdy pass deep middle intended for J.Jennings INTERCEPTED by E.Jones [D.Hall] at SEA 22. E.Jones to SEA 29 for 7 yards (C.McCaffrey; K.Juszczyk). Drive-ending interception. Score after play: SF 7, SEA 10.
EPA -5.10. Win probability swing 15%.
03
B.Purdy -> J.Tonges, 4-yd TD
(Shotgun) B.Purdy pass short right to J.Tonges for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN [D.Hall]. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 17, SEA 13.
EPA +2.72. Win probability swing 14%.
04
S.Okuayinonu forced fumble, recovered by M.Sigle
(Shotgun) S.Darnold pass short left to J.Smith-Njigba to SF 43 for 2 yards (S.Okuayinonu). FUMBLES (S.Okuayinonu), RECOVERED by M.Sigle at SF 34. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: SF 7, SEA 10.
EPA -3.95. Win probability swing 12%.
05
B.Purdy -> G.Kittle, 5-yd TD
(Shotgun) B.Purdy pass short right to G.Kittle for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 7, SEA 0.
EPA +2.71. Win probability swing 6%.