KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
F.Warner forced fumble, recovered by F.Warner
S.Rattler pass short right to A.Kamara to SF 29 for 1 yard (J.Brown). San Francisco challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. S.Rattler pass short right to A.Kamara to SF 29 for 1 yard (J.Brown, F.Warner). FUMBLES (F.Warner), RECOVERED by F.Warner at SF 32. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: SF 19, NO 14.
EPA -5.69. Win probability swing 18%.
02
M.Jones -> J.Jennings, 42-yd TD
(Shotgun) M.Jones pass deep middle to J.Jennings for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 26, NO 14.
EPA +5.71. Win probability swing 13%.
03
C.Rumph strip-sack, recovered by D.Davis
(Shotgun) M.Jones sacked at SF 44 for -8 yards (C.Rumph). FUMBLES (C.Rumph) [C.Rumph], RECOVERED by D.Davis at SF 47. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: SF 16, NO 7.
EPA -6.21. Win probability swing 10%.
04
M.Jones -> C.McCaffrey, 7-yd TD
(Shotgun) M.Jones pass short right to C.McCaffrey for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 16, NO 7.
EPA +3.19. Win probability swing 9%.
05
S.Rattler -> J.Johnson, 18-yd TD
(Shotgun) S.Rattler pass deep left to J.Johnson for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 9, NO 7.
EPA +3.32. Win probability swing 8%.