KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
A.Hutchinson forced fumble, recovered by D.Reed
(Shotgun) D.Henry up the middle to BAL 21 for no gain (A.Hutchinson). FUMBLES (A.Hutchinson), touched at BAL 22, RECOVERED by D.Reed at BAL 19. D.Reed to BAL 16 for 3 yards (L.Jackson). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: DET 28, BAL 24.
EPA -5.60. Win probability swing 18%.
02
J.Gibbs, 4-yd TD
J.Gibbs right end for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: DET 28, BAL 21.
EPA +3.28. Win probability swing 17%.
03
L.Jackson -> M.Andrews, 14-yd TD
(Shotgun) L.Jackson pass short right to M.Andrews for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: DET 14, BAL 21.
EPA +3.58. Win probability swing 13%.
04
D.Henry, 28-yd TD
D.Henry right guard for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on P.O'Connor, Defensive Offside, declined. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: DET 7, BAL 7.
EPA +3.10. Win probability swing 10%.
05
J.Goff -> A.St. Brown, 18-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Goff pass deep right to A.St. Brown for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: DET 21, BAL 21.
EPA +2.27. Win probability swing 10%.