KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
B.Burns strip-sack, recovered by A.Carter
(Shotgun) M.Jones sacked at SF 17 for -11 yards (B.Burns). FUMBLES (B.Burns) [B.Burns], RECOVERED by A.Carter at SF 23. A.Carter to SF 27 for -4 yards (T.Williams). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: SF 17, NYG 7.
EPA -2.16. Win probability swing 14%.
02
M.Jones -> J.Jennings, 11-yd TD
(Shotgun) M.Jones pass short left to J.Jennings for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 14, NYG 7.
EPA +2.99. Win probability swing 9%.
03
M.Jones -> C.McCaffrey, 5-yd TD
(Shotgun) M.Jones pass short left to C.McCaffrey for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 7, NYG 7.
EPA +2.62. Win probability swing 7%.
04
J.Dart -> T.Johnson, 15-yd TD
(No Huddle, Shotgun) J.Dart pass short right to T.Johnson for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 0, NYG 7.
EPA +1.80. Win probability swing 4%.
05
B.Robinson, 18-yd TD
B.Robinson right guard for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: SF 27, NYG 10.
EPA +2.33. Win probability swing 3%.