KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
C.Bullock interception
(Shotgun) J.Allen pass short left intended for J.Palmer INTERCEPTED by C.Bullock at HOU 9. C.Bullock to HOU 9 for no gain (J.Palmer). Penalty on G.Davis, Offensive Pass Interference, declined. Drive-ending interception. Score after play: BUF 19, HOU 23.
EPA -2.66. Win probability swing 25%.
02
K.Fairbairn kicks 62 yards from HOU 35 to BUF 3. R.Davis for 97 yards,
K.Fairbairn kicks 62 yards from HOU 35 to BUF 3. R.Davis for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 16, HOU 13.
EPA +6.10. Win probability swing 21%.
03
J.Cook, 45-yd TD
J.Cook right tackle for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 6, HOU 0.
EPA +4.43. Win probability swing 16%.
04
D.Mills -> J.Higgins, 8-yd TD
(Shotgun) D.Mills pass short left to J.Higgins for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Injury Update: N.Collins has returned to the game. Penalty on C.Lewis, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 16, HOU 20.
EPA +3.43. Win probability swing 13%.
05
C.Bullock forced fumble, recovered by J.Reed
(Shotgun) J.Allen pass short left to K.Shakir to BUF 28 for 13 yards (C.Bullock). FUMBLES (C.Bullock), RECOVERED by J.Reed at BUF 31. J.Reed to BUF 22 for 9 yards (D.Knox). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: BUF 16, HOU 20.
EPA -4.26. Win probability swing 9%.