KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
J.Ossai strip-sack, recovered by C.Johnson
(Shotgun) L.Jackson sacked at BAL 6 for -9 yards (J.Ossai). FUMBLES (J.Ossai) [J.Ossai], RECOVERED by C.Johnson at BAL 6. C.Johnson to BAL 2 for 4 yards (L.Jackson). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: CIN 3, BAL 7.
EPA -5.29. Win probability swing 17%.
02
L.Jackson fumble, recovered by C.Johnson
(Shotgun) L.Jackson sacked at BAL 13 for -7 yards. FUMBLES, touched at BAL 15, RECOVERED by C.Johnson at BAL 19. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: CIN 9, BAL 7.
EPA -4.13. Win probability swing 17%.
03
J.Burrow -> A.Iosivas, 29-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass deep middle to A.Iosivas for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: CIN 26, BAL 14.
EPA +4.31. Win probability swing 11%.
04
K.Mitchell, 18-yd TD
K.Mitchell right end for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: CIN 19, BAL 14.
EPA +1.96. Win probability swing 10%.
05
J.Burrow -> T.Hudson, 14-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Burrow pass short right to T.Hudson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: CIN 19, BAL 7.
EPA +3.45. Win probability swing 8%.