KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
B.Graham strip-sack, recovered by D.Barnett
(Shotgun) T.Brady sacked at NE 26 for -7 yards (B.Graham). FUMBLES (B.Graham) [B.Graham], RECOVERED by D.Barnett at NE 28. D.Barnett to NE 31 for -3 yards (D.Andrews). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: PHI 38, NE 33.
EPA -4.84. Win probability swing 23%.
02
N.Foles -> Z.Ertz, 11-yd TD
(Shotgun) N.Foles pass short left to Z.Ertz for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field was confirmed. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: PHI 38, NE 33.
EPA +3.36. Win probability swing 17%.
03
T.Brady -> R.Gronkowski, 4-yd TD
(Shotgun) T.Brady pass short left to R.Gronkowski for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: PHI 32, NE 33.
T.BradyR.Gronkowski
EPA +1.48. Win probability swing 14%.
04
J.White, 26-yd TD
J.White left guard for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: PHI 15, NE 12.
J.White
EPA +3.14. Win probability swing 9%.
05
T.Brady -> C.Hogan, 26-yd TD
T.Brady pass deep right to C.Hogan for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: PHI 29, NE 26.
T.BradyC.Hogan
EPA +2.69. Win probability swing 9%.