NFL Game Database
2025 · Week 1
Sep 7, 2025Mercedes-Benz Stadium
TB
TAMPA BAY
Buccaneers
1-0 · AWAY
23
FINAL
1234T
TB0107623
ATL733720
MARGIN 3 PTS · LEAD CHANGES 3 · TIES 1
20
ATLANTA
Falcons
0-1 · HOME
ATL

Falconsは開始早々、Michael Penix Jr.からBijan Robinsonへの50ヤードTDで先制したが、Buccaneersは第2QにChase McLaughlinのFGとBaker MayfieldからEmeka Egbukaへの30ヤードTDで10-7と逆転。AtlantaもFGで10-10に戻し、前半は互角のまま終えた。

後半はTampa BayがBucky IrvingへのTDパスで一時リードを奪うがAtlantaもFGで追い上げ、第4Q残り2分23秒にはPenixの4ヤードTDランでFalconsが20-17と逆転。しかし続くドライブでBuccaneersはすぐに反撃し、残り1分4秒にMayfieldがEgbukaへ25ヤードTDを通したのが決勝点に。Atlantaは367ヤードを稼いだが、最後にFGを外すなど一歩及ばず。Tampa Bayが23-20で競り勝った。

Player of the Game
Baker Mayfield
Buccaneers

167ヤードながら3TD、INTなし。第4Qに逆転を許した直後、Emeka Egbukaへの25ヤードTDで再び試合をひっくり返し、接戦を勝利へ導いた。

Chance of victory at each minute. Hover dots for moments.
ATL WIN%TB WIN%KEY MOMENT
Q1Q2Q3Q4100500
8
SCORING PLAYS
3
LEAD CHANGES
618
TOTAL YARDS
0
TURNOVERS
60
EXCITEMENT INDEX
95
CLUTCH INDEX
22:44
ATL IN LEAD
27:17
TB IN LEAD
Q402:23ATL
01

M.Penix, 4-yd TD

(Shotgun) M.Penix scrambles up the middle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: TB 17, ATL 20.

+25% WIN PROB
TD
EPA +4.18. Win probability swing 25%.
Q401:04TB
02

B.Mayfield -> E.Egbuka, 25-yd TD

(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass deep middle to E.Egbuka for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: TB 23, ATL 20.

+22% WIN PROB
TD
EPA +2.99. Win probability swing 22%.
Q113:26ATL
03

M.Penix -> B.Robinson, 50-yd TD

(Shotgun) M.Penix pass short right to B.Robinson for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: TB 0, ATL 7.

+13% WIN PROB
TD
EPA +4.26. Win probability swing 13%.
Q207:00TB
04

B.Mayfield -> E.Egbuka, 30-yd TD

B.Mayfield pass deep left to E.Egbuka for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: TB 10, ATL 7.

+11% WIN PROB
TD
EPA +3.50. Win probability swing 11%.
Q307:33TB
05

B.Mayfield -> B.Irving, 9-yd TD

(Shotgun) B.Mayfield pass short right to B.Irving for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: TB 17, ATL 10.

+10% WIN PROB
TD
EPA +2.33. Win probability swing 10%.