KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
J.Jones forced fumble, recovered by M.Fitzpatrick
(Shotgun) M.Mitchell reported in as eligible. B.Allen right guard to MIA 1 for 5 yards (J.Jones; A.Davis). FUMBLES (J.Jones), RECOVERED by M.Fitzpatrick at MIA 4. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: NYJ 0, MIA 3.
EPA -5.17. Win probability swing 17%.
02
T.Tagovailoa -> D.Waller, 4-yd TD
(Shotgun) T.Tagovailoa pass short middle to D.Waller for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: NYJ 0, MIA 10.
EPA +4.08. Win probability swing 11%.
03
J.Fields, 43-yd TD
J.Fields scrambles left end for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: NYJ 10, MIA 17.
EPA +6.25. Win probability swing 11%.
04
D.Trader forced fumble, recovered by D.Trader
R.Patterson kicks 59 yards from MIA 35 to NYJ 6. I.Williams to NYJ 36 for 30 yards (C.Goode, D.Trader). FUMBLES (D.Trader), RECOVERED by D.Trader at NYJ 36. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: NYJ 3, MIA 10.
EPA -4.64. Win probability swing 9%.
05
J.Fields -> G.Wilson, 23-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Fields pass deep right to G.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: NYJ 21, MIA 27.
EPA +3.35. Win probability swing 1%.