KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
G.Rousseau forced fumble, recovered by C.Benford
(Shotgun) A.Dalton scrambles right end to BUF 20 for 1 yard (G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (G.Rousseau), RECOVERED by C.Benford at BUF 11. C.Benford to BUF 17 for 6 yards (B.Christensen; A.Dalton). Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: BUF 3, CAR 0.
EPA -4.29. Win probability swing 15%.
02
A.Epenesa interception
(Shotgun) A.Dalton pass short left intended for J.Coker INTERCEPTED by A.Epenesa at CAR 25. A.Epenesa to CAR 1 for 24 yards (C.Hubbard). Drive-ending interception. Score after play: BUF 12, CAR 3.
EPA -7.32. Win probability swing 12%.
03
J.Cook, 64-yd TD
J.Cook left guard for 64 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 12, CAR 3.
EPA +5.15. Win probability swing 10%.
04
J.Allen -> K.Shakir, 54-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.Allen pass short right to K.Shakir for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 26, CAR 3.
EPA +5.14. Win probability swing 4%.
05
J.Cook, 21-yd TD
J.Cook up the middle for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BUF 33, CAR 3.
EPA +2.50. Win probability swing 0%.