KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
K.Jackson forced fumble, recovered by K.Jackson
T.Loop kicks 65 yards from BAL 35 to MIN 0. M.Price to MIN 23 for 23 yards (K.Jackson; T.Simpson). FUMBLES (K.Jackson), RECOVERED by K.Jackson at MIN 23. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: BAL 12, MIN 10.
EPA -6.25. Win probability swing 18%.
02
M.Humphrey interception
J.McCarthy pass deep middle intended for J.Jefferson INTERCEPTED by M.Humphrey at BAL 2. M.Humphrey ran ob at BAL 29 for 27 yards (D.Jackson; A.Jones). Drive-ending interception. Score after play: BAL 9, MIN 10.
EPA -4.30. Win probability swing 11%.
03
J.McCarthy -> J.Nailor, 10-yd TD
(Shotgun) J.McCarthy pass short right to J.Nailor for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 27, MIN 19.
EPA +4.24. Win probability swing 5%.
04
L.Jackson -> M.Andrews, 2-yd TD
(Shotgun) L.Jackson pass short right to M.Andrews for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 27, MIN 13.
EPA +0.74. Win probability swing 4%.
05
A.Jones, 4-yd TD
A.Jones left tackle for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: BAL 0, MIN 7.
EPA +0.82. Win probability swing 3%.