KEY MOMENTS · BY WIN-PROBABILITY SWING
01
L.Allen forced fumble, recovered by L.Allen
C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (Q.Morris). Jacksonville challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (Q.Morris, L.Allen). FUMBLES (L.Allen), RECOVERED by L.Allen at TEN 35. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: JAX 7, TEN 3.
EPA -4.82. Win probability swing 12%.
02
T.Lawrence -> B.Strange, 21-yd TD
(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass deep middle to B.Strange for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: JAX 15, TEN 3.
EPA +2.52. Win probability swing 7%.
03
T.Lawrence -> J.Meyers, 3-yd TD
(Shotgun) T.Lawrence pass short middle to J.Meyers for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: JAX 7, TEN 3.
EPA +2.32. Win probability swing 5%.
04
B.Tuten, 2-yd TD
B.Tuten up the middle for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Touchdown swings the leverage immediately. Score after play: JAX 25, TEN 3.
EPA +0.76. Win probability swing 2%.
05
V.Miller forced fumble, recovered by R.Lane
(Shotgun) C.Ward pass short left to T.Pollard to TEN 47 for 4 yards (V.Miller). FUMBLES (V.Miller), RECOVERED by R.Lane at TEN 46. Turnover flips the possession. Score after play: JAX 25, TEN 3.
EPA -4.44. Win probability swing 0%.